Copa Libertadores Last 16
Global 2-1
San Lorenzo vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.3%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
21%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
16.7%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Lorenzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 1988 |
NOB
1 - 0
SLO
64%
22%
13%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 1988 |
SLO
2 - 0
FIL
86%
10%
4%
|
81 | 40 | 41 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 1988 |
SLO
2 - 1
BSC
75%
15%
10%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 1988 |
SLO
0 - 0
NOB
50%
27%
23%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 1988 |
FIL
1 - 2
SLO
15%
23%
63%
|
80 | 41 | 39 | 0 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 1988 |
GOI
0 - 1
GUA
33%
31%
37%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1988 |
GUA
1 - 1
UNI
66%
19%
15%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | -2 |
| 19 Aug. 1988 |
GUA
1 - 0
ALI
80%
13%
7%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 1988 |
GUA
4 - 1
SPO
62%
22%
16%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 1988 |
UNI
1 - 1
GUA
46%
26%
29%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |