San Lorenzo vs Gimnasia Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.4%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.3%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.1%
7.5%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Lorenzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
RAC
0 - 3
SLO
46%
28%
26%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
SLO
2 - 1
OLI
55%
25%
20%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2013 |
SLO
2 - 2
LAN
45%
27%
28%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2013 |
SLO
3 - 0
RAF
46%
25%
29%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2013 |
IND
0 - 1
SLO
46%
28%
26%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Gimnasia Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2013 |
SUA
0 - 0
GIM
50%
23%
27%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2013 |
GIM
3 - 0
CAD
41%
25%
34%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2013 |
CAU
1 - 1
GIM
70%
18%
12%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2012 |
GIM
0 - 0
BHU
66%
20%
15%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
GIM
1 - 1
CCS
46%
25%
29%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |