San Lorenzo vs Ferro Carril Oeste analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.5%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
10.8%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Lorenzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 1997 |
CEN
1 - 2
SLO
42%
26%
33%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1997 |
SLO
1 - 1
LAN
63%
21%
16%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1997 |
RIV
1 - 0
SLO
64%
20%
16%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1997 |
SLO
4 - 1
COL
64%
20%
16%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1997 |
GIM
3 - 3
SLO
27%
25%
47%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Ferro Carril Oeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 1997 |
FER
3 - 3
VEL
28%
26%
46%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1997 |
NOB
1 - 2
FER
52%
26%
23%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1997 |
FER
1 - 2
PLA
59%
23%
18%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1997 |
BOC
1 - 1
FER
77%
15%
9%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1997 |
FER
6 - 2
CAU
61%
22%
17%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | +1 |