San Lorenzo vs Estudiantes La Plata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.4%
32.1%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Lorenzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
BEL
0 - 0
SLO
49%
28%
24%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
SLO
2 - 1
SMA
51%
26%
23%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2012 |
SLO
3 - 1
SMA
49%
27%
24%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2012 |
IND
0 - 0
SLO
53%
26%
21%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2012 |
TIG
3 - 1
SLO
56%
25%
19%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Estudiantes La Plata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
EST
0 - 2
RIV
45%
27%
27%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2012 |
TIG
1 - 2
EST
51%
25%
24%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
MIL
3 - 1
EST
42%
26%
31%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2012 |
CAU
1 - 1
EST
40%
27%
33%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2012 |
CAU
2 - 2
EST
36%
29%
34%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |