San Lorenzo vs Estudiantes La Plata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.9%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.9%
11.2%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Lorenzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 1973 |
VEL
4 - 1
SLO
55%
24%
21%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1973 |
SLO
3 - 1
RAC
64%
21%
16%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1973 |
COL
2 - 1
SLO
43%
27%
31%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1973 |
IND
1 - 0
SLO
67%
18%
15%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 May. 1973 |
SLO
4 - 2
ATL
68%
19%
14%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Estudiantes La Plata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 1973 |
EST
1 - 3
GLP
60%
22%
18%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1973 |
FER
1 - 2
EST
55%
23%
22%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1973 |
EST
1 - 2
IND
39%
27%
34%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1973 |
CHA
1 - 2
EST
58%
23%
19%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1973 |
EST
3 - 1
CEN
38%
28%
34%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | +1 |