Copa Libertadores Quarter-finals
Global 5-3
San Lorenzo vs Bahía analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.4%
Win probability
2.89
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
8%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.1%
10.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Lorenzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1960 |
SLO
4 - 2
VEL
71%
16%
13%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1960 |
ATL
2 - 1
SLO
35%
23%
42%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1960 |
SLO
1 - 1
CEN
73%
15%
12%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1959 |
BOC
1 - 2
SLO
48%
22%
30%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1959 |
SLO
0 - 2
CEN
75%
15%
11%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |