Conmebol Sudamericana Playoffs 1/16
Global 3-1
San Lorenzo vs Deportes Temuco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.7%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.1%
13.2%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Lorenzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2018 |
SLO
1 - 0
RAC
83%
13%
4%
|
83 | 30 | 53 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2018 |
CHA
2 - 1
SLO
39%
28%
34%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2018 |
RIV
2 - 0
SLO
54%
24%
22%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2018 |
ATM
0 - 0
SLO
52%
25%
23%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
SLO
2 - 0
BEL
56%
24%
20%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Deportes Temuco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2018 |
DEP
1 - 1
ANT
31%
28%
41%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2018 |
DEP
1 - 1
VAL
63%
21%
16%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2018 |
VAL
2 - 1
DEP
17%
22%
61%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
EVE
2 - 2
DEP
45%
27%
28%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2018 |
DEP
2 - 2
SAN
42%
27%
31%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |