San Lorenzo vs Defensa y Justicia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.3%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
25%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Lorenzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
SLO
2 - 1
GOD
51%
26%
23%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
CEN
1 - 1
SLO
46%
28%
27%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2014 |
SLO
1 - 3
RIV
44%
27%
29%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2014 |
QUI
0 - 3
SLO
36%
30%
35%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
SLO
0 - 2
BAN
51%
26%
23%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Defensa y Justicia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
GLP
0 - 3
DYJ
52%
25%
23%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
GOD
1 - 1
DYJ
52%
25%
24%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
DYJ
1 - 3
CEN
39%
27%
34%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2014 |
RIV
3 - 0
DYJ
59%
23%
18%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
DYJ
1 - 1
QUI
48%
25%
27%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |