San Lorenzo vs Danubio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
13.1%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Lorenzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
ALD
1 - 0
SLO
31%
29%
40%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2015 |
COR
0 - 0
SLO
59%
25%
17%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
SLO
1 - 0
IND
53%
24%
23%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
RIV
1 - 0
SLO
55%
24%
20%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2015 |
SLO
1 - 0
SAO
43%
26%
32%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Danubio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
DAN
1 - 0
CER
58%
23%
19%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2015 |
DAN
1 - 2
SAO
34%
26%
40%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
PEÑ
2 - 3
DAN
64%
21%
15%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
DAN
3 - 0
FEN
58%
23%
19%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2015 |
COR
4 - 0
DAN
72%
19%
9%
|
70 | 87 | 17 | 0 |