San Lorenzo vs Cerro Porteño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.2%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
15.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Lorenzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2000 |
TAL
1 - 2
SLO
33%
25%
42%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2000 |
JUN
3 - 1
SLO
32%
24%
44%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2000 |
SLO
1 - 1
GLP
60%
21%
18%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2000 |
SLO
3 - 0
UNI
73%
17%
10%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2000 |
CAU
0 - 1
SLO
32%
24%
45%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2000 |
UNI
1 - 0
CCP
36%
26%
38%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2000 |
CCP
1 - 0
JUN
63%
20%
17%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 May. 1999 |
CCP
3 - 2
CAL
47%
26%
27%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1999 |
CAL
4 - 0
CCP
49%
25%
26%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 May. 1999 |
CCP
4 - 0
EST
68%
20%
12%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | +1 |