San Lorenzo vs Vélez Sarsfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.4%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
33.2%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Lorenzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
IND
0 - 0
SLO
45%
29%
26%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
SLO
1 - 1
NOB
43%
28%
29%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2024 |
GLP
0 - 1
SLO
53%
25%
22%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
SLO
1 - 1
HUR
44%
28%
28%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2024 |
PEÑ
0 - 2
SLO
43%
28%
29%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
VEL
3 - 0
DYJ
42%
27%
31%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2024 |
CCS
0 - 2
VEL
43%
26%
31%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2024 |
PLA
0 - 2
VEL
39%
29%
32%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2024 |
VEL
3 - 0
TAL
40%
27%
33%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
BOC
1 - 0
VEL
42%
28%
30%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |