San Lorenzo vs Vélez Sarsfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.7%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
30.3%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Lorenzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2005 |
RAC
0 - 1
SLO
48%
26%
26%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2005 |
SLO
3 - 1
LAN
51%
25%
25%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 2005 |
ALM
3 - 1
SLO
23%
27%
50%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2005 |
SLO
2 - 0
QUI
62%
23%
15%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2005 |
NOB
1 - 1
SLO
47%
27%
27%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2005 |
ARS
1 - 1
VEL
37%
28%
35%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2005 |
VEL
3 - 0
EST
59%
24%
17%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2005 |
RIV
0 - 1
VEL
58%
23%
19%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 2005 |
VEL
2 - 3
INS
72%
19%
10%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2005 |
ARG
0 - 3
VEL
26%
27%
47%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | +1 |