San Lorenzo vs Vélez Sarsfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.4%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
35.3%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Lorenzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 1996 |
NOB
0 - 2
SLO
35%
27%
38%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1996 |
SLO
2 - 2
FER
69%
20%
11%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 1996 |
RIV
4 - 0
SLO
58%
23%
20%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1996 |
SLO
4 - 2
CAH
64%
21%
15%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1996 |
SLO
3 - 0
RAC
48%
25%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 1996 |
VEL
2 - 0
LAN
65%
20%
15%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1996 |
CRZ
0 - 1
VEL
52%
24%
24%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 1996 |
COL
2 - 1
VEL
20%
26%
54%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 1996 |
VEL
1 - 1
SAN
66%
20%
14%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1996 |
VEL
0 - 2
EST
78%
15%
7%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |