San Lorenzo vs Rosario Central analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.5%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
16.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Lorenzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2002 |
SLO
0 - 0
NAC
62%
21%
16%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2002 |
SLO
0 - 3
IND
60%
22%
19%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2002 |
NAC
0 - 4
SLO
43%
27%
30%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2002 |
TAL
1 - 1
SLO
27%
26%
47%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2002 |
SLO
1 - 2
ARS
77%
15%
8%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Rosario Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2002 |
BOC
3 - 1
CEN
69%
18%
13%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2002 |
CEN
1 - 0
BAN
55%
25%
20%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2002 |
CAU
3 - 2
CEN
42%
25%
33%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2002 |
CEN
3 - 2
CHI
59%
24%
17%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2002 |
CEN
1 - 2
EST
51%
25%
23%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |