San Lorenzo vs Rosario Central analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.1%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
15.2%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Lorenzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2001 |
COR
2 - 1
SLO
52%
23%
25%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2001 |
ARG
0 - 0
SLO
23%
24%
53%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2001 |
SLO
0 - 2
LAN
71%
18%
11%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2001 |
RIV
2 - 2
SLO
58%
21%
21%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2001 |
CCP
1 - 2
SLO
39%
25%
36%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Rosario Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2001 |
CEN
1 - 1
BEL
57%
24%
19%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2001 |
NOB
1 - 1
CEN
41%
26%
33%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2001 |
CEN
1 - 1
IND
44%
25%
31%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2001 |
VEL
3 - 1
CEN
51%
24%
26%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2001 |
CEN
1 - 0
BAN
74%
17%
8%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | 0 |