Conmebol Sudamericana 1/16
Global 0-1
San Lorenzo vs River Plate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.4%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
26.3%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Lorenzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
SLO
0 - 3
ARG
59%
23%
18%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2013 |
SLO
2 - 0
GIM
77%
15%
8%
|
79 | 56 | 23 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
RAC
0 - 3
SLO
46%
28%
26%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
SLO
2 - 1
OLI
55%
25%
20%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2013 |
SLO
2 - 2
LAN
45%
27%
28%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2013 |
GOD
0 - 0
RIV
36%
28%
35%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
RIV
1 - 0
CEN
52%
25%
23%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
GLP
1 - 0
RIV
38%
28%
35%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2013 |
RIV
3 - 1
SMA
58%
24%
19%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2013 |
LAN
5 - 1
RIV
49%
26%
25%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | -1 |