San Lorenzo vs River Plate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.4%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
21.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Lorenzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 1996 |
SLO
3 - 1
RIV
53%
24%
23%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1995 |
SLO
2 - 2
CEN
63%
22%
16%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1995 |
BAN
2 - 5
SLO
24%
28%
48%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1995 |
SLO
0 - 2
VEL
52%
25%
23%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 1995 |
BEL
1 - 2
SLO
26%
28%
46%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 1996 |
SLO
3 - 1
RIV
53%
24%
23%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1995 |
ARG
3 - 1
RIV
25%
28%
47%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1995 |
RIV
3 - 2
COL
73%
17%
10%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1995 |
GLP
1 - 1
RIV
34%
29%
37%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1995 |
RIV
0 - 0
BOC
56%
24%
20%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |