San Lorenzo vs Boca Juniors analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.6%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
26.3%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Lorenzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2011 |
ALB
0 - 3
SLO
41%
27%
32%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
SLO
1 - 2
RAC
51%
27%
22%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2011 |
GOD
0 - 2
SLO
54%
24%
22%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
SLO
1 - 1
GLP
60%
24%
16%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
BOC
3 - 0
SLO
56%
23%
21%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2011 |
VEL
1 - 0
BOC
55%
24%
21%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
BOC
0 - 0
ALB
62%
22%
16%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
RAC
0 - 1
BOC
43%
27%
30%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
BOC
1 - 4
GOD
51%
24%
25%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2011 |
BOC
1 - 1
RIV
58%
22%
19%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |