San Lorenzo vs Boca Juniors analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.8%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
30.3%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Lorenzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2003 |
BAN
1 - 1
SLO
29%
25%
46%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2003 |
SLO
0 - 2
CAU
65%
20%
15%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2003 |
CHI
2 - 2
SLO
26%
25%
49%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2003 |
SLO
2 - 2
CEN
64%
20%
16%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2002 |
SLO
0 - 0
NAC
62%
21%
16%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2003 |
EST
0 - 2
BOC
29%
25%
46%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2003 |
BOC
2 - 1
BSC
78%
16%
7%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2003 |
BOC
3 - 1
BAN
76%
16%
8%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2003 |
COL
1 - 2
BOC
39%
26%
35%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2003 |
CAU
2 - 0
BOC
28%
25%
47%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | -1 |