Conmebol Sudamericana 1/16
Global 4-3
San Lorenzo vs Banfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.1%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
18.9%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Lorenzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
DYJ
0 - 2
SLO
37%
27%
36%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
ROM
2 - 1
SLO
72%
18%
10%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
SLO
2 - 2
SMA
64%
22%
14%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2016 |
BAN
2 - 0
SLO
40%
27%
33%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2016 |
BOC
2 - 0
SLO
47%
26%
27%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Banfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
BAN
0 - 0
COL
56%
24%
20%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
RIV
4 - 1
BAN
52%
25%
23%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2016 |
BAN
2 - 0
SLO
40%
27%
33%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
BAN
0 - 1
GOD
39%
25%
36%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2016 |
BAN
1 - 0
DFR
77%
16%
7%
|
79 | 57 | 22 | 0 |