San Lorenzo vs Atletico Rafaela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.4%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.3%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.8%
7.8%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Lorenzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2003 |
TAL
0 - 3
SLO
30%
25%
45%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2003 |
SLO
6 - 0
MIR
65%
20%
15%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2003 |
SLO
1 - 1
LAN
61%
22%
17%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2003 |
MIR
1 - 2
SLO
37%
26%
37%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2003 |
RAC
1 - 0
SLO
41%
26%
33%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Atletico Rafaela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2003 |
RAF
1 - 1
COL
21%
27%
52%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2003 |
OLI
0 - 1
RAF
64%
21%
15%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2003 |
RAF
1 - 0
ARS
38%
27%
35%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2003 |
QUI
3 - 1
RAF
42%
26%
33%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 2003 |
SMA
2 - 3
RAF
43%
26%
31%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +2 |