San Lorenzo vs Arsenal de Sarandí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.5%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
34.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Lorenzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
ARS
2 - 1
SLO
54%
25%
21%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
SLO
0 - 0
TIG
54%
25%
21%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
SLO
3 - 0
GLP
52%
26%
22%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
COL
0 - 2
SLO
43%
28%
29%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2013 |
SLO
1 - 1
EST
72%
18%
10%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal de Sarandí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
ARS
2 - 1
SLO
54%
25%
21%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2013 |
COL
0 - 1
ARS
37%
28%
35%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2013 |
ALB
1 - 1
ARS
33%
26%
41%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2013 |
ARS
1 - 0
GOD
58%
23%
19%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
CEN
1 - 1
ARS
36%
29%
35%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |