San Lorenzo vs Arsenal de Sarandí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
28.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Lorenzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
BAN
1 - 1
SLO
45%
27%
28%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
SLO
3 - 0
GOD
36%
27%
37%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2012 |
RAC
1 - 1
SLO
52%
26%
22%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
SLO
0 - 2
VEL
29%
27%
44%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
RAF
2 - 1
SLO
52%
26%
22%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal de Sarandí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2012 |
ARS
1 - 1
NOB
48%
27%
25%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2012 |
ARS
1 - 2
FLU
30%
24%
46%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
CAU
1 - 0
ARS
41%
28%
31%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2012 |
ZAM
0 - 1
ARS
32%
26%
42%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
ARS
2 - 1
OLI
56%
25%
20%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |