Conmebol Sudamericana 1/16
Global 1-4
San Lorenzo vs Arsenal de Sarandí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.6%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
13.8%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Lorenzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
VEL
2 - 0
SLO
46%
27%
27%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2007 |
SLO
4 - 3
RAC
64%
20%
16%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
EST
1 - 1
SLO
54%
24%
22%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2007 |
SLO
1 - 1
RIV
47%
25%
28%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2007 |
ARS
1 - 1
SLO
47%
26%
27%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal de Sarandí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
ARS
1 - 0
NOB
50%
25%
25%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2007 |
GIM
1 - 0
ARS
39%
29%
32%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
ARS
0 - 4
BAN
51%
25%
24%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2007 |
OLI
1 - 0
ARS
38%
29%
33%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2007 |
ARS
1 - 1
SLO
47%
26%
27%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |