San Lorenzo vs Almirante Brown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.3%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.3%
12.4%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Lorenzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2014 |
SLO
2 - 3
VEL
40%
27%
33%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2014 |
CRZ
1 - 1
SLO
71%
19%
11%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
EST
3 - 0
SLO
40%
29%
31%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2014 |
SLO
1 - 0
CRZ
26%
26%
48%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
SLO
2 - 0
RAF
48%
26%
25%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Almirante Brown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2014 |
ALM
0 - 1
HUR
29%
30%
41%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2014 |
IRV
1 - 0
ALM
50%
27%
24%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
ALM
2 - 0
ATT
35%
31%
34%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2014 |
ALD
3 - 0
ALM
49%
27%
24%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2014 |
ALM
1 - 0
BUC
30%
28%
42%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | +1 |