San Lorenzo Flumen vs Peña Ferranca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.9%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
22%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22%
33.1%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Lorenzo Flumen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
EST
1 - 2
SAN
27%
22%
51%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
PFR
2 - 1
SAN
34%
23%
43%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
SAN
1 - 0
LAN
81%
12%
7%
|
13 | 8 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
ESP
1 - 1
SAN
17%
20%
64%
|
14 | 8 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
SAN
3 - 1
BOL
75%
14%
11%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Peña Ferranca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
PEN
3 - 0
PEN
47%
23%
30%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
PEN
4 - 1
BIN
77%
14%
9%
|
13 | 6 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
BIE
5 - 1
PEN
9%
15%
76%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | -2 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
PEN
2 - 0
FRA
36%
23%
41%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
ASJ
1 - 1
PEN
28%
22%
50%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |