San Lorenzo Flumen vs Calamocha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.1%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.1%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
42.8%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Lorenzo Flumen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
TAR
2 - 0
SAN
85%
10%
5%
|
19 | 37 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
SAN
2 - 2
SAR
23%
25%
53%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
ZAR
3 - 0
SAN
76%
16%
8%
|
18 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
SAN
0 - 0
UDC
77%
15%
8%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
BEL
2 - 0
SAN
43%
25%
32%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Calamocha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
CAL
1 - 1
CFB
42%
25%
33%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
ATL
3 - 1
CAL
40%
25%
35%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
CAL
2 - 0
SDB
21%
26%
53%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | +3 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
CFA
0 - 0
CAL
54%
22%
24%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
CAL
0 - 1
UFC
29%
26%
46%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | -1 |