San Lorenzo Alem vs Unión Villa Krause analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.5%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
35.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Lorenzo Alem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
SAR
1 - 1
SLO
43%
26%
31%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
SLO
1 - 2
LIB
32%
26%
42%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | -2 |
| 19 Jul. 2015 |
GYT
1 - 0
SLO
60%
22%
19%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2015 |
SLO
1 - 2
SMA
32%
28%
40%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Jul. 2015 |
CON
0 - 0
SLO
43%
25%
32%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Unión Villa Krause
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
UNI
2 - 1
SJO
60%
21%
19%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
AMT
1 - 1
UNI
10%
17%
73%
|
43 | 17 | 26 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2015 |
UNI
3 - 1
TFE
46%
25%
29%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Jul. 2015 |
9DJ
4 - 0
UNI
37%
26%
38%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | -2 |
| 05 Jul. 2015 |
UNI
6 - 0
GUT
58%
23%
20%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | +2 |