Torneo Federal A Quarter-finals
Global 2-5
San Lorenzo Alem vs Defensores Belgrano VR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.9%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
10%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
42.3%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Lorenzo Alem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
JAN
1 - 1
SLO
56%
24%
20%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2015 |
SLO
1 - 0
JAN
33%
27%
40%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
MIT
2 - 2
SLO
56%
24%
20%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2015 |
SLO
1 - 0
MIT
33%
26%
41%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
GIM
0 - 0
SLO
56%
23%
22%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Defensores Belgrano VR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2015 |
DFR
2 - 1
SMA
62%
23%
15%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
DFR
5 - 1
SOL
53%
24%
23%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
UNI
1 - 0
DFR
36%
28%
36%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
DFR
1 - 0
CIP
61%
23%
16%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
CFE
0 - 1
DFR
42%
26%
32%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |