San Lorenzo Alem vs Américo Tesorieri analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.2%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.8%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.4%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.1%
6.7%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Lorenzo Alem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
GIM
2 - 1
SLO
67%
20%
13%
|
42 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
SLO
1 - 1
CSE
24%
24%
52%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
SLO
0 - 3
JUU
23%
25%
52%
|
45 | 62 | 17 | -2 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
AND
0 - 3
SLO
48%
24%
28%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
SAR
2 - 0
SLO
27%
25%
49%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | -3 |
Matches
Américo Tesorieri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
AMT
0 - 0
JUU
12%
20%
68%
|
20 | 59 | 39 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
AND
1 - 1
AMT
82%
12%
6%
|
21 | 42 | 21 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
AMT
2 - 3
MAI
12%
21%
67%
|
21 | 55 | 34 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
UNI
5 - 1
AMT
80%
14%
6%
|
22 | 48 | 26 | -1 |