AD San Juan vs Penya Independent analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.7%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
23%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD San Juan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
SJU
2 - 1
NAX
55%
25%
20%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
TUD
3 - 0
SJU
45%
28%
28%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
SJU
0 - 1
CLH
26%
27%
47%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
BAR
6 - 0
SJU
50%
25%
25%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2023 |
OSA
0 - 0
SJU
74%
17%
10%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Penya Independent
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
PIN
1 - 3
CER
36%
26%
38%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
VAL
1 - 1
PIN
78%
15%
7%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
AND
0 - 0
PIN
65%
20%
15%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
PIN
0 - 1
UES
28%
26%
47%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2023 |
ATB
1 - 0
PIN
80%
14%
7%
|
37 | 58 | 21 | 0 |