Tercera Playoffs Quarter-finals
Global 2-4
AD San Juan vs RSD Alcalá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.2%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
39.3%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD San Juan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2018 |
ALC
1 - 0
SJU
51%
26%
23%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
CDB
0 - 0
SJU
30%
25%
45%
|
31 | 18 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
SJU
1 - 0
GAR
78%
16%
6%
|
31 | 15 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
BUR
0 - 0
SJU
33%
27%
40%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
SJU
1 - 1
CAN
71%
19%
10%
|
31 | 18 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
RSD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2018 |
ALC
1 - 0
SJU
51%
26%
23%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
ALC
2 - 1
PNT
66%
21%
13%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
INT
0 - 1
ALC
55%
25%
21%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2018 |
ALC
3 - 0
TRC
65%
21%
14%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
STA
0 - 0
ALC
29%
26%
45%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |