CONCACAF Champions Cup Quarter-finals
Global 2-2
San Jose Earthquakes vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
40%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Jose Earthquakes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
SJE
2 - 1
DAL
49%
24%
27%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2013 |
SJE
1 - 0
HER
71%
18%
10%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2013 |
GAL
0 - 0
SJE
54%
24%
22%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2013 |
SJE
1 - 0
COR
48%
25%
27%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2013 |
CHI
0 - 1
SJE
25%
27%
49%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
TOL
3 - 0
PUE
65%
21%
15%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
CAZ
1 - 0
TOL
45%
26%
29%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
TOL
1 - 0
CHI
67%
20%
12%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
VER
0 - 3
TOL
21%
26%
53%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
TOL
2 - 0
JAG
63%
21%
15%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |