San Jose Earthquakes vs Tampa Bay Mutiny analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.6%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
26.3%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Jose Earthquakes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 1996 |
SJE
2 - 1
DCU
54%
24%
23%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1996 |
RBN
0 - 1
SJE
50%
25%
25%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1996 |
DAL
4 - 1
SJE
49%
26%
26%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1996 |
DCU
3 - 1
SJE
52%
24%
23%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 1996 |
SJE
2 - 2
COC
56%
23%
21%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Tampa Bay Mutiny
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 1996 |
TAM
3 - 3
COC
60%
22%
18%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1996 |
GAL
2 - 2
TAM
57%
23%
20%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1996 |
TAM
2 - 1
COR
59%
22%
19%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1996 |
KCW
1 - 3
TAM
50%
25%
26%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 1996 |
TAM
1 - 2
GAL
52%
24%
23%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |