San Jose Earthquakes vs Necaxa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.6%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
21.9%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Jose Earthquakes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2024 |
SJE
1 - 2
GAL
35%
24%
42%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
CHI
1 - 1
SJE
51%
23%
26%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
MIN
2 - 0
SJE
51%
23%
26%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2024 |
SJE
0 - 1
HOD
38%
25%
37%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
SJE
1 - 2
KCW
36%
24%
40%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Necaxa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2024 |
SES
1 - 3
NEC
58%
23%
19%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
MIN
1 - 0
NEC
65%
20%
15%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2024 |
LEO
1 - 1
NEC
58%
23%
19%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2024 |
NEC
0 - 1
MON
30%
27%
43%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
NEC
4 - 1
PUE
51%
25%
24%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | +1 |