MLS Semi-finals
Global 5-1
San Jose Earthquakes vs Miami Fusion analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.3%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
29.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Jose Earthquakes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2001 |
MIA
1 - 0
SJE
57%
22%
22%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2001 |
SJE
3 - 0
COC
49%
24%
27%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2001 |
COC
1 - 3
SJE
60%
21%
19%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2001 |
KCW
1 - 0
SJE
43%
25%
32%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2001 |
SJE
3 - 0
KCW
55%
23%
22%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Miami Fusion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2001 |
MIA
1 - 0
SJE
57%
22%
22%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2001 |
MIA
2 - 1
KCW
63%
20%
17%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2001 |
KCW
3 - 0
MIA
37%
25%
37%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2001 |
MIA
2 - 0
KCW
66%
19%
15%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2001 |
MIA
3 - 1
DCU
58%
21%
22%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |