San Jose Earthquakes vs Heredia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.4%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.4%
10.2%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Jose Earthquakes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2013 |
GAL
0 - 0
SJE
54%
24%
22%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2013 |
SJE
1 - 0
COR
48%
25%
27%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2013 |
CHI
0 - 1
SJE
25%
27%
49%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
RSL
1 - 2
SJE
55%
24%
21%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2013 |
SJE
3 - 0
MON
49%
24%
27%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Heredia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
LEO
2 - 1
HER
52%
24%
24%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
HER
3 - 0
UNI
54%
23%
23%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2013 |
COM
3 - 0
HER
49%
26%
25%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
IZT
0 - 0
HER
30%
27%
43%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
HER
2 - 2
COA
70%
18%
12%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |