San Jose Earthquakes II vs Tacoma Defiance analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.3%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
44.9%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Jose Earthquakes II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2022 |
SAN
3 - 1
MON
72%
17%
11%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2022 |
POR
1 - 2
SAN
18%
21%
62%
|
46 | 27 | 19 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
COR
2 - 1
SAN
24%
23%
53%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Jul. 2022 |
NOT
1 - 3
SAN
68%
19%
13%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | +2 |
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
SAN
1 - 1
HOU
28%
25%
47%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Tacoma Defiance
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
TAC
5 - 1
STL
35%
27%
38%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
SPK
0 - 3
TAC
34%
25%
41%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Jul. 2022 |
TAC
3 - 2
MIN
42%
25%
33%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Jul. 2022 |
POR
1 - 6
TAC
13%
19%
68%
|
51 | 29 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2022 |
HOU
1 - 0
TAC
47%
25%
27%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |