San Jorge Tucumán vs Guaraní A. Franco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.9%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
22.7%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Jorge Tucumán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
RAC
0 - 1
SJO
48%
26%
26%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
SJO
1 - 1
CCS
40%
28%
33%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
JAN
0 - 0
SJO
60%
23%
17%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
SJO
0 - 0
SMA
32%
30%
39%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
CAA
0 - 2
SJO
56%
23%
21%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Guaraní A. Franco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
GAF
2 - 1
TFE
24%
26%
50%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
LIB
0 - 0
GAF
64%
22%
13%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
GAF
1 - 0
RAC
40%
26%
34%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
CCS
2 - 1
GAF
59%
23%
18%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
GAF
2 - 2
JAN
36%
26%
38%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | +2 |