San Jorge Tucumán vs Concepción FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.9%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
34.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Jorge Tucumán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
SJO
1 - 1
CAG
62%
22%
16%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
SMA
0 - 2
SJO
55%
24%
21%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | +2 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
SJO
2 - 1
MIT
29%
26%
45%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | +2 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
CON
1 - 1
SJO
56%
23%
22%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | +2 |
| 07 Mar. 2016 |
CAG
0 - 2
SJO
45%
25%
30%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Concepción FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
CAG
1 - 2
CON
28%
26%
46%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
CON
1 - 0
SMA
44%
28%
29%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2016 |
MIT
1 - 1
CON
56%
24%
20%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
CON
1 - 1
SJO
56%
23%
22%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
CON
4 - 1
CAG
58%
24%
18%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | +1 |