San Jorge Tucumán vs Américo Tesorieri analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.4%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
14%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Jorge Tucumán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
VSR
1 - 0
SJO
34%
23%
43%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
SJO
2 - 0
AND
63%
20%
17%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
CON
2 - 0
SJO
53%
23%
23%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
SJO
0 - 0
SPA
30%
26%
44%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
TEX
4 - 1
SJO
24%
21%
55%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | -2 |
Matches
Américo Tesorieri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
AMT
2 - 1
VSR
32%
24%
45%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
AND
2 - 1
AMT
62%
20%
19%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
AMT
5 - 4
CON
13%
19%
68%
|
20 | 43 | 23 | +4 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
SPA
3 - 0
AMT
83%
12%
5%
|
20 | 44 | 24 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
AMT
2 - 1
TEX
27%
24%
49%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | +1 |