San Giovanni vs Virtus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.4%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
17.7%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Giovanni
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
DOM
3 - 0
SGI
28%
24%
48%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
SGI
4 - 2
FOL
43%
24%
33%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
SGI
3 - 4
DOM
73%
16%
11%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
SGI
0 - 3
TPE
32%
25%
43%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2013 |
SGI
1 - 6
JUV
48%
23%
29%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
VIR
1 - 1
JUV
29%
26%
46%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
VIR
1 - 1
LIB
29%
26%
45%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
MUR
2 - 1
VIR
60%
22%
19%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
FOL
2 - 0
VIR
57%
24%
19%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2013 |
TFI
1 - 2
VIR
65%
20%
15%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | +1 |