San Giovanni vs Pennarossa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.6%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
15%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Giovanni
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
DOM
2 - 1
SGI
25%
25%
50%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2013 |
FOL
0 - 0
SGI
34%
24%
42%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
COS
1 - 1
SGI
48%
25%
27%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
SGI
4 - 3
JUV
56%
22%
22%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2013 |
VIR
0 - 0
SGI
26%
24%
50%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Pennarossa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
PEN
1 - 4
FIO
51%
24%
25%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2013 |
MUR
4 - 1
PEN
63%
21%
16%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
FOL
1 - 0
PEN
43%
27%
30%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
LIB
0 - 0
PEN
63%
22%
15%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
FAE
2 - 1
PEN
43%
27%
30%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |