San Giovanni vs Murata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.7%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
25%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
32.3%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
7º
14º
14º
30
6º
14º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 25 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 23 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
23 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 18 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Giovanni
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
SGI
0 - 3
COS
68%
19%
13%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
PEN
4 - 0
SGI
64%
22%
15%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
SGI
1 - 2
FAE
25%
25%
50%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2022 |
FAE
1 - 1
SGI
59%
23%
17%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2022 |
DOM
0 - 4
SGI
67%
20%
14%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
Murata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
MUR
2 - 4
PEN
24%
27%
49%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
COS
4 - 1
MUR
14%
21%
65%
|
48 | 28 | 20 | -3 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
MUR
1 - 2
PEN
30%
27%
43%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2022 |
PEN
1 - 1
MUR
60%
23%
17%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2022 |
VIR
1 - 0
MUR
59%
23%
19%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |