San Giovanni vs Murata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.5%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
41.6%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Giovanni
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2012 |
CAI
1 - 2
SGI
23%
22%
55%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
LIB
3 - 3
SGI
61%
22%
17%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
SGI
2 - 1
FIO
20%
22%
58%
|
52 | 70 | 18 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2012 |
SGI
1 - 1
FOL
66%
18%
16%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
SGI
1 - 1
FAE
53%
22%
25%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Murata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2012 |
MUR
2 - 1
LIB
51%
24%
25%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
FOL
1 - 0
MUR
20%
24%
56%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2012 |
MUR
2 - 1
FAE
62%
21%
17%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
MUR
2 - 1
TPE
45%
26%
29%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2012 |
PEN
2 - 1
MUR
32%
24%
44%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | -1 |