Coppa Titano Last 16
Global 2-3
San Giovanni vs Folgore analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.8%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
65.8%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
12%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.1%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Giovanni
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
CAI
0 - 3
SGI
45%
25%
30%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
SGI
0 - 2
MUR
43%
25%
32%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | -2 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
SGI
0 - 3
COS
68%
19%
13%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
PEN
4 - 0
SGI
64%
22%
15%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
SGI
1 - 2
FAE
25%
25%
50%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
FAE
0 - 3
FOL
33%
27%
40%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
PEN
4 - 0
FOL
39%
28%
34%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
FOL
0 - 1
FIO
26%
27%
47%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
LIB
0 - 0
FOL
38%
27%
35%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
FIO
1 - 2
FOL
36%
26%
38%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | +1 |