San Giovanni vs Folgore analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.5%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
13.3%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Giovanni
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
TPE
2 - 0
SGI
65%
20%
15%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
SGI
1 - 1
FIO
58%
21%
21%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
SGI
3 - 1
DOM
70%
17%
13%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
PEN
3 - 5
SGI
61%
21%
17%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | +2 |
| 14 Sep. 2012 |
SGI
3 - 3
COS
46%
24%
30%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
COS
1 - 0
FOL
64%
21%
15%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
FOL
1 - 0
TPE
23%
24%
53%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
TFI
1 - 2
FOL
81%
14%
5%
|
46 | 66 | 20 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
FOL
1 - 1
FIO
38%
25%
38%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
PEN
2 - 2
FOL
72%
18%
10%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | +1 |