San Giovanni vs Folgore analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.8%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
42.6%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Giovanni
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
SGI
1 - 3
MUR
23%
25%
53%
|
36 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
JUV
3 - 1
SGI
75%
17%
9%
|
36 | 65 | 29 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
FIO
6 - 3
SGI
77%
16%
8%
|
37 | 62 | 25 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
SGI
0 - 2
COS
25%
25%
51%
|
37 | 61 | 24 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
FAE
1 - 2
SGI
73%
18%
10%
|
36 | 56 | 20 | +1 |
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
FOL
3 - 3
TFI
15%
23%
62%
|
47 | 69 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
FOL
1 - 3
FIO
19%
24%
57%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
FOL
1 - 1
FIO
70%
18%
12%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
FOL
0 - 1
PEN
23%
25%
52%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
CAI
0 - 1
FOL
34%
26%
39%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |