San Francisco vs Atl. Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.3%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
13%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.5%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.5%
15.2%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Francisco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
AMA
3 - 1
SFF
49%
28%
23%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
SFF
2 - 0
SMI
48%
27%
26%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
VER
0 - 2
SFF
34%
29%
38%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | +2 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
GEM
1 - 0
SFF
38%
28%
34%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2017 |
SFF
2 - 2
ARA
37%
28%
35%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Atl. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2017 |
NAC
0 - 2
ARA
26%
27%
48%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
AFC
0 - 1
NAC
55%
24%
21%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
NAC
0 - 1
TAU
24%
26%
50%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
CHO
2 - 2
NAC
58%
25%
17%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2017 |
NAC
0 - 0
GEM
36%
28%
36%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |