San Francisco vs Independiente Chorrera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.8%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.3%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.8%
50.4%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
2º
9º
4º
37
1º
8º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
37 | 37 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
32 | 32 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
28 | 31 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
25 | 26 |
4º
|
65% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 25 |
5º
|
47% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 23 |
6º
|
71% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 21 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 19 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 16 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
11 | 11 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 3 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 100% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Francisco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
UME
0 - 1
SFF
35%
28%
37%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2023 |
SFF
2 - 1
ARA
38%
27%
36%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
ARA
3 - 2
SFF
44%
27%
29%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
SFF
1 - 0
CHI
53%
25%
22%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
AZU
0 - 0
SFF
52%
26%
22%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente Chorrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
AZU
1 - 1
IND
27%
27%
46%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
TAU
1 - 3
IND
35%
28%
37%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
IND
3 - 1
AMA
50%
26%
24%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
AMA
0 - 0
IND
35%
28%
37%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
CHO
1 - 0
IND
24%
26%
50%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |